Stavanger’s inhabitants may have to store or sell their snow-clearing equipment, according to climate researchers and meteorologists.
“Mild winters with lots of rain will be more common in times to come,” Professor Hege Drange, at the Bergen University’s Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, tells Aftenbladet.
He discounts southern Norway’s two recent unusually cold winters have little to do with climate change.
“The type of winter we saw in 2009-10 occurs perhaps only once every 100 years. It was even colder and drier than towards the end of the ‘80s and during the 1994 Winter Olympics in Lillehammer.”
Mild weather most probable scenario
Stavanger area temperatures were an average of 3-4 degrees below normal between December 2009 and February 2010, with precipitation levels at 10-50 percent of what is usual.
According to global commercial weather services company StormGeo, last year’s temperatures show the same trend, though they were slightly warmer by 2 degrees. Precipitation was just below normal.
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Forecaster Inge Johannessen says the international prognosis for the next three months suggests, “Mild weather will be the most probable scenario”. Regarding Stavanger, he states that, “there is nothing that indicates much snow clearing in the next couple of weeks, in any case.”
“The weather will be mild and unstable towards the middle of January [...] It will become colder towards the end of this week and into the weekend, before getting milder and wetter next week.”
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“Mild winters with lots of rain will be more common in times to come,” Professor Hege Drange, at the Bergen University’s Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, tells Aftenbladet. That doesn't concern Øivind Holm. He takes a swim at Solastranden (Sola Beach) all year round.
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